AI Exposure of the Federal Workforce
538 occupation series · area = headcount · color = AI exposure
Employment from OPM, scored by Claude Opus, Mar 2026
Federal employees
2.0M
Weighted avg. exposure
5.5
headcount-weighted, 0-10 scale
Employees by exposure
0510
Breakdown
Minimal (0-1)81K4%
Low (2-3)306K15%
Moderate (4-5)528K26%
High (6-7)751K37%
Very high (8-10)351K17%
Exposure by pay
<$50K
2.3
$50-75K
5.2
$75-100K
4.1
$100-150K
6.3
$150K+
6.0
Exposure by education
HS or less
4.9
Some college
5.0
BS / MS
6.0
Doctorate+
5.6
Exposure by age
Under 30
4.9
30-44
5.4
45-54
5.6
55+
5.7
Wages exposed
$104B
annual wages in high-exposure roles (7+)
LowHigh